Ligue 1 · resolved market
ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0e6cae001cd3c65e66b4601980dee5b725f3182073df7b58ab2bfe9420f65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,480$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.64 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 41c | 999.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 43c | 930$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 607.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 542.38$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Over | 29c | 349.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 285.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 23c | 202.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 181.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 99.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 61.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 26c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 62c | 22.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 58c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5this page
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC: Paris FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: ES Troyes AC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)ES Troyes AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.