Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0f6d11273070ce4e8f2f692063275abd9613399db136e2e1e6f8cee5ad1ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 959$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 39c | 793$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 706.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 411.11$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 384.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…738cbacked Over | 42c | 360.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 38c | 355$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 258.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…da32backed Under | 58c | 190.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…d961backed Under | 58c | 170.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 143.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 133.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Over | 47c | 127.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 13c | 107.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Over | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.