CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Wildcard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1b9f0cef4cff20650685a8b3b494a735549876e24646f6d8a57fe32300444e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf557…18debacked Wildcard | 39c | 1,759$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.04 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 63c | 1,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wildcard | 32c | 1,235$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Wildcard | 36c | 1,072$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed B8 | 62c | 1,002$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed B8 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Wildcard | 32c | 565.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Wildcard | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed B8 | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed B8 | 67c | 445.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Wildcard | 42c | 397.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed Wildcard | 39c | 336.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Wildcard | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Wildcard | 50c | 299.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked B8 | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Wildcard | 38c | 271.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed B8 | 65c | 215$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 60c | 204.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked B8 | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked B8 | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked B8 | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed Wildcard | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed B8 | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.