Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Udvardy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e35b0aa25e1b033e2a8c276cc3b1de3efc4752de265839a7202936bad85c58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Badosaof Badosa, Udvardy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Udvardy | 42c | 2,428$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Badosa | 60c | 2,094$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.06 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Badosa | 68c | 1,760$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.18 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Udvardy | 53c | 751.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Udvardy | 34c | 614.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Badosa | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Udvardy | 40c | 445.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Badosa | 60c | 417.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Udvardy | 29c | 359.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Udvardy | 34c | 320.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Udvardy | 20c | 256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Badosa | 62c | 252.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Udvardy | 37c | 236.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Badosa | 62c | 202$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Udvardy | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Badosa | 55c | 163.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Badosa | 77c | 145$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…0226backed Badosa | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Udvardy | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Badosa | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Udvardy | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Udvardy | 48c | 38.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…1a1dbacked Udvardy | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…1b27backed Badosa | 74c | 25.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Udvardythis page
- Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna UdvardyPaula Badosa won
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)Badosa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.