CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e43e931b880ef662cb1e58a842cde9c772616c2eb7654bc3a94a07d610f7d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,888 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 918.79$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Keyd | 53c | 848.22$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.65 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 445.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 43c | 362.14$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Keyd | 58c | 359.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Keyd | 38c | 259.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 174.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 66c | 127.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Keyd | 60c | 83.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 75.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 26.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.