Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5f2a4f18d268fd91dae2749bb1642045f4298dcba056ad4fd5805a224e366d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.91 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,631$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,636$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 9c | 1,533$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 1,271$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 871.19$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 660.46$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 627$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 75c | 555$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 19c | 539.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 499$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…d087backed Yes | 22c | 256.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 26c | 222.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 24c | 192.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 180.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 148.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 28c | 109.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 104.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 21c | 95.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 27c | 92.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 81.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 76c | 38.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 31.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 25.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.