Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e61745e59119772cec19a2cc00a44c9a59a3bc3d91a590eae14b426c4d532dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Bradley Braves, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 14c | 3,808$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 2,260$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.9 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bradley Braves | 53c | 1,763$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 76c | 1,717$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bradley Braves | 38c | 1,409$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.33 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Indiana State Sycamores | 41c | 1,195$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 911.24$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 583.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 579.41$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 502.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 25c | 330.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bradley Braves | 63c | 298.76$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 287.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 33c | 280.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 9c | 277.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 21c | 277$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bradley Braves | 70c | 265.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 225.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bradley Braves | 45c | 160$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 94.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 83.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bradley Braves | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bradley Braves | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bradley Braves | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Indiana State Sycamores | 77c | 52.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bradley Braves | 42c | 30.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 27.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Indiana State Sycamores | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bradley Braves | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.