NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8aae290d3ee87f0e6a28859ccf26cb0c17b222c05f87d0223fd54413217b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Jets, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Jets | 30c | 403$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 70c | 323.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Jets | 33c | 303.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Jets | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canadiens | 67c | 288.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Canadiens | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Canadiens | 67c | 150.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Jets | 33c | 150.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets | 31c | 124.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jets | 31c | 84.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jets | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Canadiens | 68c | 75.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…f95dbacked Canadiens | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…53c3backed Canadiens | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…b1e4backed Canadiens | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…5279backed Canadiens | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Jets | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Canadiens | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…798fbacked Canadiens | 72c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 71cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 67c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Jets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.