MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea3acb78c367f6a421c60adc905180653a4bbce9981cfe1c821951c8a46c36a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 23c | 1,163$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NC Dinos | 23c | 913.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 75c | 740.19$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 51c | 463.39$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked NC Dinos | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 390.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 379.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed NC Dinos | 53c | 305.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 287.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…0ad6backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 272.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 249.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed NC Dinos | 54c | 221.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 217.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed NC Dinos | 51c | 147.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 145.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 36c | 110.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 93.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 51c | 74.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 49c | 60.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 34c | 56.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed NC Dinos | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 33.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed NC Dinos | 36c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 48c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed NC Dinos | 48c | 31.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 48c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Doosan Bears | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.