Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Rafael De Alba vs Aditya Vishal Balsekar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea69a65089b56e10394c6bdaafc302ad5071f24b582ead2235989ac3121f976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aditya Vishal Balsekarof Rafael De Alba, Aditya Vishal Balsekar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 57c | 4,052$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.4 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rafael De Alba | 41c | 2,693$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rafael De Alba | 40c | 740.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 63c | 445.25$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Rafael De Alba | 36c | 366.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Rafael De Alba | 29c | 298$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rafael De Alba | 61c | 280.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 71c | 226.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 68c | 209.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 70c | 164$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 68c | 161.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rafael De Alba | 66c | 117.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 38c | 113.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 64c | 88.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rafael De Alba | 31c | 82.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Rafael De Alba | 51c | 81.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Rafael De Alba | 52c | 78.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rafael De Alba | 38c | 78.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rafael De Alba | 32c | 63.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rafael De Alba | 32c | 58.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rafael De Alba | 45c | 57.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Rafael De Alba | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rafael De Alba | 31c | 54.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rafael De Alba | 31c | 47.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 33c | 33.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 51c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 60c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rafael De Alba | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rafael De Alba | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6a7fbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.