Euroleague · resolved market
Granada vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebda0519f7b6b0963f0bd0a3b08e4c09a2030e53f5734c48ba0d78d6fed1641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Granada, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 79c | 2,135$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.99 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Granada | 21c | 1,134$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Granada | 17c | 1,001$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Granada | 18c | 964.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Granada | 23c | 961.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Granada | 11c | 862.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Granada | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Granada | 14c | 573.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Granada | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Granada | 30c | 478.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae93…9210backed Granada | 21c | 466.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Barcelona | 79c | 279.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barcelona | 76c | 274.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Granada | 16c | 246.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Granada | 9c | 150.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Granada | 20c | 117.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Granada | 21c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Barcelona | 73c | 103.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Granada | 19c | 99.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Granada | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Granada | 20c | 76.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Barcelona | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Barcelona | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Granada | 25c | 52.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Barcelona | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Granada | 30c | 38.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Barcelona | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…4f5abacked Granada | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed Barcelona | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Barcelona | 76c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.