Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee1d71959104173baec80ab022845a49d5753258a11b8cc26f7f11d49b36662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Çilekler, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 1,350$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.56 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Çilekler | 44c | 705$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 63c | 673.86$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Çilekler | 70c | 245.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Çilekler | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Çilekler | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Çilekler | 39c | 196.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 124.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Çilekler | 38c | 116.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Çilekler | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Çilekler | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Çilekler | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Çilekler | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Çilekler | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Çilekler | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports | 30c | 34.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup DÇilekler won
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerÇilekler won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.