Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Vignesh Gogineni vs Bryce Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0791902be28eac73929db575633aa0234bf2c6292cc9c1e71e1d9dc9ceff9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryce Nakashimaof Vignesh Gogineni, Bryce Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Bryce Nakashima | 43c | 465.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Vignesh Gogineni | 32c | 463.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vignesh Gogineni | 15c | 341.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Bryce Nakashima | 37c | 268.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Bryce Nakashima | 48c | 230.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vignesh Gogineni | 57c | 221.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vignesh Gogineni | 53c | 204$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Vignesh Gogineni | 36c | 165$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 70c | 152.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vignesh Gogineni | 60c | 120.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bryce Nakashima | 53c | 98.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vignesh Gogineni | 40c | 83.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Vignesh Gogineni | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bryce Nakashima | 57c | 28.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bryce Nakashima | 48c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Vignesh Gogineni | 64c | 25.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bryce Nakashima | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bryce Nakashima | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Vignesh Gogineni | 53c | 23.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bryce Nakashima | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Vignesh Gogineni | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.