Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Holy Cross Crusaders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f092148e8bb2dad497040522384ce445018355031f35b492a86dffce812fae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Bucknell Bison, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Bucknell Bison | 28c | 4,665$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 69c | 3,470$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bucknell Bison | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucknell Bison | 21c | 2,885$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 70c | 900$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 70c | 702$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucknell Bison | 54c | 694.66$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.01 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Bucknell Bison | 36c | 556.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 58c | 509.7$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 51c | 480$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison | 30c | 449.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison | 27c | 297.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucknell Bison | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Bucknell Bison | 29c | 191.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 164.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucknell Bison | 35c | 109.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucknell Bison | 53c | 93.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 49c | 88.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 55.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucknell Bison | 53c | 46.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 43.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 40.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison | 30c | 39.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison | 53c | 39.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Bucknell Bison | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Bucknell Bison | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 42c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bucknell Bison | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Holy Cross Crusadersthis page
- Spread: Bucknell Bison (-1.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.