CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Esport BERG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f143de815293095e20f087fa878c216a1a6cfc40b8475513923e29976eadbfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esport BERGof NAVI Junior, Esport BERG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NAVI Junior | 35c | 1,088$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NAVI Junior | 13c | 792.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NAVI Junior | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Esport BERG | 50c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Esport BERG | 47c | 225.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Esport BERG | 70c | 175.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Esport BERG | 50c | 165.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Esport BERG | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NAVI Junior | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esport BERG | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esport BERG | 70c | 135.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked NAVI Junior | 51c | 84.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked NAVI Junior | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NAVI Junior | 65c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esport BERG | 47c | 62.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked NAVI Junior | 52c | 52.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed NAVI Junior | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed NAVI Junior | 52c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NAVI Junior | 53c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.