TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Heretics Academyof Arctic Pandas, Team Heretics Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbb3…76a9backed Arctic Pandas15c1,297$195 inLost-$194.5539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0f…1fbabacked Arctic Pandas14c554.81$80 inLost-$803218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Arctic Pandas21c363.44$75 inLost-$751,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arctic Pandas14c284.32$40 inLost-$39.672,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Arctic Pandas18c200$35 inLost-$3550646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Arctic Pandas14c139.42$20 inLost-$2099747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Arctic Pandas16c91.5$15 inLost-$14.558944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Arctic Pandas23c86.96$20 inLost-$2022617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.