Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4ffe3bed34e9b956dbfb224a3f252dcda129b76e3070a2a677ef219bc3ecea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Arctic Pandas, Team Heretics Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,970 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Arctic Pandas | 14c | 10,212$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.54 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 7,934$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.38 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Arctic Pandas | 3c | 3,152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Arctic Pandas | 13c | 1,648$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Arctic Pandas | 14c | 844$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…3aecbacked Arctic Pandas | 14c | 819.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked Arctic Pandas | 6c | 722.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Arctic Pandas | 6c | 552.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Arctic Pandas | 8c | 513.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arctic Pandas | 8c | 511$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…c3d9backed Arctic Pandas | 7c | 410$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Arctic Pandas | 15c | 392.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Arctic Pandas | 8c | 351.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arctic Pandas | 12c | 318.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Arctic Pandas | 10c | 318$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Arctic Pandas | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…236abacked Arctic Pandas | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Arctic Pandas | 7c | 194.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked Arctic Pandas | 13c | 187$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 170.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Arctic Pandas | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…cfb3backed Arctic Pandas | 11c | 133.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Arctic Pandas | 10c | 117.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cc74backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d1…ccb2backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…c1cfbacked Arctic Pandas | 13c | 100.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Arctic Pandas | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cthis page
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.