Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ff6a804f647386474e970893880a6d6c57b5e7a8ff065de0337dbd332615f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc1…5b53backed Over | 31c | 619$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…6753backed Under | 70c | 459$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…ed37backed Over | 31c | 375$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…f437backed Over | 30c | 342$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…60fcbacked Under | 69c | 279$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…85d9backed Over | 31c | 274$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…b364backed Over | 30c | 269$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…ac43backed Under | 69c | 265$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…7215backed Under | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f9…e193backed Under | 69c | 243$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…993cbacked Under | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…3d26backed Over | 30c | 234$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…f539backed Under | 69c | 231$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…4588backed Under | 70c | 228$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…3a2dbacked Over | 30c | 224$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…f15cbacked Under | 70c | 224$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…809dbacked Under | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e6…71d5backed Over | 31c | 209$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42a…c156backed Under | 70c | 209$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b890backed Over | 30c | 202$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…b880backed Over | 30c | 202$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…ea55backed Over | 30c | 192$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…32adbacked Under | 69c | 186$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d784backed Over | 31c | 183$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f8d4backed Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…3f78backed Over | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…a365backed Under | 69c | 179$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…fefdbacked Under | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…2d02backed Under | 70c | 175$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…869cbacked Over | 31c | 173$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…f89bbacked Under | 69c | 171$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Under | 69c | 169.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…415fbacked Under | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…954fbacked Under | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…a9f4backed Under | 70c | 161$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf530…6ae1backed Under | 70c | 159$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…2728backed Under | 70c | 158$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…fa68backed Under | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…920cbacked Over | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…383cbacked Over | 31c | 147$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0100backed Under | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…209cbacked Under | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…7f83backed Over | 31c | 142$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…dd5fbacked Over | 31c | 136$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…8f95backed Over | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…2478backed Over | 31c | 122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…34f0backed Over | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…ad9abacked Over | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…8af3backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Over | 31c | 58.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Over | 31c | 56.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Over | 31c | 53.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.