Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Diana Shnaider vs Maya Joint
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f84f11ff9597d8aedf419cfc55d517c5023d97da6d01140ba20c66510dec82c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Shnaider, Joint
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joint | 1c | 10,040$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joint | 0c | 4,020$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Joint | 0c | 3,690$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Joint | 1c | 2,643$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Joint | 11c | 2,402$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Joint | 12c | 1,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joint | 21c | 956.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Shnaider | 72c | 751.32$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Joint | 32c | 729.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Shnaider | 71c | 700$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Joint | 29c | 560.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Joint | 28c | 544.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Joint | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Joint | 14c | 482.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…0239backed Shnaider | 66c | 397.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joint | 19c | 343$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shnaider | 79c | 291.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shnaider | 78c | 291.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Shnaider | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Shnaider | 80c | 175.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Shnaider | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shnaider | 71c | 133.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joint | 17c | 130.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joint | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Shnaider | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…1f74backed Shnaider | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shnaider | 76c | 124.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shnaider | 70c | 116.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shnaider | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…2aa3backed Joint | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joint | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joint | 19c | 98.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Joint | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Joint | 23c | 87.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7a91backed Joint | 16c | 87.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Shnaider | 67c | 86.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shnaider | 69c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Joint | 23c | 72.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Shnaider | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Joint | 23c | 67.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Shnaider | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Joint | 33c | 49.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Joint | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Shnaider | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Shnaider | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Joint | 33c | 39.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked Shnaider | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Shnaider | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Shnaider | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shnaider | 71c | 34.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Shnaider | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Shnaider | 73c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.