Tennis · resolved market

Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Federico Cina

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc7085f871ae212c4c09f688133576e4033f20485d2a1a613c0d6759350826d

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Federico Cinaof Duje Ajdukovic, Federico Cina
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Federico Cina	54c	12,847$7,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,845.88	556	46.4%258 W · 298 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Duje Ajdukovic	27c	7,288$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Duje Ajdukovic	44c	6,033$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,654.61	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Federico Cina	76c	3,947$3,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.79	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Duje Ajdukovic	20c	3,927$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.86	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Federico Cina	63c	2,159$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.41	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Duje Ajdukovic	51c	1,543$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Duje Ajdukovic	54c	1,490$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Duje Ajdukovic	27c	1,086$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.98	168	30.4%51 W · 117 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Federico Cina	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	225	53.8%121 W · 104 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Federico Cina	57c	703.4$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.4	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Federico Cina	48c	628.5$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.5	625	34.4%215 W · 410 L	-20.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Federico Cina	55c	610.83$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.03	207	48.3%100 W · 107 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Federico Cina	62c	485.06$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.06	378	54%204 W · 174 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Duje Ajdukovic	39c	469$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.98	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Federico Cina	80c	438.08$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.08	121	62%75 W · 46 L	-14.3wins	-0.12per pick	74cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Duje Ajdukovic	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Federico Cina	56c	346$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.6	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Duje Ajdukovic	49c	336$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.38	737	45.2%333 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Federico Cina	66c	328.51$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.11	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Federico Cina	64c	312.22$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.22	849	68.4%581 W · 268 L	+25.9wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Duje Ajdukovic	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	609	43.3%264 W · 345 L	-24.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Federico Cina	80c	284.68$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.27	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Federico Cina	73c	263.71$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.2	296	54.4%161 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Duje Ajdukovic	15c	263.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	287	24.4%70 W · 217 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Duje Ajdukovic	28c	253.43$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Duje Ajdukovic	53c	234$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.58	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Duje Ajdukovic	49c	233$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.49	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Duje Ajdukovic	49c	224.61$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.81	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Federico Cina	72c	218.12$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.07	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Duje Ajdukovic	51c	215$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.18	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Federico Cina	73c	204.41$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.28	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Federico Cina	74c	202.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.7	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Cina	55c	200.89$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.49	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Duje Ajdukovic	26c	189.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Federico Cina	57c	188$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.84	704	65.2%459 W · 245 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duje Ajdukovic	36c	187.07$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.88	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Duje Ajdukovic	30c	186.19$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.53	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Duje Ajdukovic	26c	170.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.41	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bee…31fdbacked Duje Ajdukovic	14c	152.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Duje Ajdukovic	52c	151.75$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.91	190	52.6%100 W · 90 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Federico Cina	48c	150.25$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.41	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Duje Ajdukovic	40c	149.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.95	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Duje Ajdukovic	28c	145.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	645	37.2%240 W · 405 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Federico Cina	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	326	49.1%160 W · 166 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Federico Cina	54c	122.63$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.59	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Federico Cina	75c	120.12$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.12	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Federico Cina	74c	119$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.94	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duje Ajdukovic	26c	118.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.79	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Duje Ajdukovic	28c	113.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Federico Cina	57c	111.18$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.7	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Duje Ajdukovic	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Federico Cina	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	779	67.8%528 W · 251 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Duje Ajdukovic	27c	92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Duje Ajdukovic	45c	87.38$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Federico Cina	55c	86.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Duje Ajdukovic	65c	74.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Duje Ajdukovic	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	903	40.2%363 W · 540 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Federico Cina	73c	69.53$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.77	244	54.9%134 W · 110 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Federico Cina	36c	64$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.96	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina	67c	60.79$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Federico Cina	73c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	990	56%554 W · 436 L	+32.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Duje Ajdukovic	29c	58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	182	33.5%61 W · 121 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Federico Cina	72c	53.44$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.96	384	60.4%232 W · 152 L	+29.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Federico Cina	75c	53.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	2,561	63%1,613 W · 948 L	-10.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Federico Cina	57c	48.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	451	47.2%213 W · 238 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Duje Ajdukovic	28c	43.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Federico Cina	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	168	58.9%99 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Federico Cina	74c	33.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	129	74.4%96 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Federico Cina	65c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	197	62.9%124 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…73ecbacked Duje Ajdukovic	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Duje Ajdukovic	43c	27.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Federico Cina	73c	26.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Federico Cina	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	275	52%143 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Federico Cina	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	580	67.8%393 W · 187 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Federico Cina	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	200	39%78 W · 122 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Federico Cina	73c	15.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	303	51.8%157 W · 146 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Federico Cina

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market