CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fd41541719255de64804f5c678c4c2ab71c8f9b452d5c405c81730b1988f90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof HAVU, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,586 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 3,424$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.88 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed HAVU | 9c | 1,741$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 1,618$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked HAVU | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU | 25c | 1,565$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.43 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HAVU | 26c | 1,237$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed HAVU | 27c | 1,041$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 914.69$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed HAVU | 25c | 674$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed HAVU | 11c | 654.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 571.71$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 10c | 547.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed HAVU | 11c | 504.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HAVU | 24c | 455.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed HAVU | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed HAVU | 27c | 376.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 358.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed HAVU | 29c | 287$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 9c | 280.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 29c | 279.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…3eccbacked HAVU | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed HAVU | 24c | 217$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU | 24c | 194.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HAVU | 14c | 164.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 157.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 137.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed HAVU | 28c | 136.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…c8d4backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 112.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked HAVU | 25c | 104.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HAVU | 19c | 101.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked HAVU | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed HAVU | 28c | 89.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed HAVU | 21c | 85.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked HAVU | 27c | 76.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 67.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed HAVU | 26c | 60.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed HAVU | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed HAVU | 27c | 40.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked HAVU | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked HAVU | 26c | 37.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 33.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…55cbbacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.