CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd014c5d147ef046c0423f1c1185ef763f0eb8cd59674c1144978605fd6c4c58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof HAVU, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed HAVU | 24c | 2,196$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.72 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 1,341$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 630.51$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 25c | 506.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed HAVU | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed HAVU | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 321.82$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 245.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 237.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HAVU | 26c | 128$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HAVU | 26c | 122.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 91.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HAVU | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed HAVU | 32c | 63.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HAVU | 36c | 58.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed HAVU | 33c | 53.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.