Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Brisbane 2 Men: Chen Dong vs Tai Leonard Sach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60074766f1ae7dde50cf337a8d99d179c74d17f326e489075530b3325676b510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chen Dongof Chen Dong, Tai Leonard Sach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…0685backed Tai Leonard Sach | 79c | 361.76$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.42 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Tai Leonard Sach | 80c | 318$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chen Dong | 20c | 313.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.18 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chen Dong | 20c | 256.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chen Dong | 65c | 108.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Tai Leonard Sach | 79c | 106.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Chen Dong | 27c | 98.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tai Leonard Sach | 80c | 94.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tai Leonard Sach | 36c | 90.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Chen Dong | 20c | 86.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tai Leonard Sach | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chen Dong | 54c | 65.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tai Leonard Sach | 26c | 61.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chen Dong | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chen Dong | 19c | 60.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Chen Dong | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tai Leonard Sach | 61c | 45.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tai Leonard Sach | 37c | 41.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Chen Dong | 54c | 40.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…cd62backed Chen Dong | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Chen Dong | 59c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Tai Leonard Sach | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Tai Leonard Sach | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…aadebacked Tai Leonard Sach | 80c | 12.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.