Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Darja Semenistaja vs Aliona Bolsova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602f690b66402afed76962ce3b9bf771dc2b758d70ab3364156b41fbfe1d5512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bolsovaof Semenistaja, Bolsova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bolsova | 62c | 3,293$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.32 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Semenistaja | 40c | 3,290$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.17 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Semenistaja | 51c | 1,639$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.23 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bolsova | 60c | 1,171$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bolsova | 60c | 976.65$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.9 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Bolsova | 29c | 860.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.3 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Semenistaja | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Semenistaja | 40c | 496.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolsova | 49c | 496.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Semenistaja | 28c | 468$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Semenistaja | 36c | 212$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Semenistaja | 36c | 201.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Semenistaja | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bolsova | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bolsova | 48c | 170.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Semenistaja | 74c | 168.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bolsova | 76c | 163$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Semenistaja | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Semenistaja | 36c | 143.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Bolsova | 77c | 129.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bolsova | 53c | 122.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Bolsova | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bolsova | 66c | 91.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Bolsova | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Semenistaja | 73c | 69.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bolsova | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Semenistaja | 31c | 62.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Bolsova | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Semenistaja | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bolsova | 27c | 55.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Semenistaja | 43c | 55.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Semenistaja | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bolsova | 29c | 40.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Semenistaja | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Semenistaja | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Semenistaja | 74c | 32.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…1284backed Semenistaja | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Semenistaja | 74c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Semenistaja | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Semenistaja | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.