Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60620ad84a84c610b4d23f8084432ecaa1312896c450ca7d2c2366d5f7b895ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Yes | 30c | 9,547$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 5,315$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.48 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,262$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,003$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.28 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 26c | 850.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 695.52$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 486$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 441.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 416.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 255.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 19c | 188$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 12c | 144.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 127.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 116.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 76c | 107$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 93.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 74c | 83.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 28c | 76.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 70c | 52.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 31.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 30.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 22.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 75c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.