Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e1b4a55d265f3a58498908a449797652aac1f73fa54769f9acea51af5d08b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,093 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 3,416$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…f3b9backed Yes | 53c | 3,072$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,356$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 55c | 2,071$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 21c | 1,274$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 1,162$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 1,161$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.84 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 56c | 977.92$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.93 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 736.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 587.05$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 57c | 509$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 32c | 415.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 70c | 309.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 289.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 26c | 275.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 80c | 262.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 257.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 65c | 255$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 233.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 206$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 203$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 201.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 49c | 188.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 175.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 45c | 142.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 130.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 56c | 125.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 122.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 109.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 90.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 20c | 81.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed No | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 39c | 47.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed No | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 45c | 38.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…e073backed Yes | 73c | 35.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 30.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 29.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…892ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 28.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 21.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…30efbacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed No | 61c | 16.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.