TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Matilde Jorge vs Lucia Bronzetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucia Bronzettiof Matilde Jorge, Lucia Bronzetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x710c…78eabacked Lucia Bronzetti73c5,296$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.551,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Matilde Jorge7c4,938$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.734047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matilde Jorge21c3,996$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matilde Jorge29c2,560$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Matilde Jorge32c2,384$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.711,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Lucia Bronzetti66c2,210$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2356757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Lucia Bronzetti79c2,172$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.834067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matilde Jorge24c2,048$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f7…75fbbacked Matilde Jorge34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucia Bronzetti73c1,981$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.574,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lucia Bronzetti65c1,631$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.947,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matilde Jorge29c1,241$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.18,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Matilde Jorge32c1,100$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35221742.9%93 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Matilde Jorge33c872.55$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9426853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lucia Bronzetti70c615.56$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.762,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Matilde Jorge18c592.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9127846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Matilde Jorge11c541.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.051,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Lucia Bronzetti64c466.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1597141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x837a…77e1backed Matilde Jorge4c423.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+101.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Matilde Jorge12c413.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.521,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Lucia Bronzetti76c404.3$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.964065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Matilde Jorge18c392.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Matilde Jorge34c391.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.159,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Matilde Jorge34c364.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.882,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lucia Bronzetti65c326.33$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.221,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Matilde Jorge16c309.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.551,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Matilde Jorge34c288.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Matilde Jorge32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Matilde Jorge18c219.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.232,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Matilde Jorge17c213.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3116560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Matilde Jorge33c208.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lucia Bronzetti67c188.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5479951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Matilde Jorge34c169.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5319657.1%112 W · 84 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Matilde Jorge34c159.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3848214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Matilde Jorge35c158.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lucia Bronzetti73c148.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8656754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Matilde Jorge30c147.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5737741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Matilde Jorge20c132.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7128933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Lucia Bronzetti64c130.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6222049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Matilde Jorge19c129.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4722113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Matilde Jorge39c123.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1728255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Matilde Jorge33c116.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.095945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Matilde Jorge37c115.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6842344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Matilde Jorge28c114.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.613,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Lucia Bronzetti66c110.12$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.448263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b84…914bbacked Lucia Bronzetti75c104.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268100%8 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Lucia Bronzetti77c103.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2137058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Matilde Jorge39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Lucia Bronzetti66c93.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9115751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Lucia Bronzetti65c79.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9729444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Matilde Jorge30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9528454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Matilde Jorge30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9543752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Matilde Jorge30c79.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Matilde Jorge27c75.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4656817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matilde Jorge31c74.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.266,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Matilde Jorge34c68.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0925745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Matilde Jorge33c66.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0334549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Lucia Bronzetti67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4538754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Matilde Jorge31c60.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.986150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Matilde Jorge32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Lucia Bronzetti66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.445051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Lucia Bronzetti71c58.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.188273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf056…0316backed Matilde Jorge35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Lucia Bronzetti67c51.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8722153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Lucia Bronzetti70c51.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Matilde Jorge34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Lucia Bronzetti71c49.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Lucia Bronzetti71c49.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Lucia Bronzetti72c49.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9647252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…0e57backed Lucia Bronzetti66c48.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.482060%12 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Lucia Bronzetti71c47.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8357267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb14…9235backed Matilde Jorge32c46.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.827146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Lucia Bronzetti66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Matilde Jorge34c43.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.629650%48 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Lucia Bronzetti70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.636360.3%38 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Lucia Bronzetti65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1831463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Matilde Jorge29c37.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.928348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Matilde Jorge34c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6311949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Lucia Bronzetti65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Matilde Jorge34c29.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1342353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Lucia Bronzetti65c27.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4934957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Lucia Bronzetti64c26.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4353544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Lucia Bronzetti71c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1560446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Lucia Bronzetti61c22.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8275262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eef…8a22backed Lucia Bronzetti77c17.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Lucia Bronzetti76c17.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0313268.9%91 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.