Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Sidharth Rawat vs Edward Winter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a430f6accc719a0772f94549bd2ecbcd2ffa56c922a3e600e8541faf741ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edward Winterof Sidharth Rawat, Edward Winter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sidharth Rawat | 4c | 2,333$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Sidharth Rawat | 11c | 1,034$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Sidharth Rawat | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 448.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Sidharth Rawat | 7c | 393.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Edward Winter | 78c | 253.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Sidharth Rawat | 13c | 190.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Edward Winter | 78c | 173$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sidharth Rawat | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sidharth Rawat | 25c | 83.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Edward Winter | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Edward Winter | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Sidharth Rawat | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Edward Winter | 78c | 45.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Edward Winter | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Edward Winter | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.