Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c62aac98f70398034b0df6d7491f30464d7031d3dacf775fd9123411abc2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 7,279$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.08 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 5,248$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 5,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 669.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed Under | 53c | 600$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 49c | 538.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 400$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 47c | 42.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 36.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 41c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 27.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 56c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.