Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Laurent Lokoli vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6154b1dcb6263886381184ee07d36a4b0e81d45cf8681d8c40039a527fa1afd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laurent Lokoliof Laurent Lokoli, Yanis Ghazouani Durand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 22c | 1,856$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.19 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 751.24$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Laurent Lokoli | 75c | 525.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 29c | 350.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Laurent Lokoli | 74c | 298.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 24c | 128.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Laurent Lokoli | 79c | 104.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Laurent Lokoli | 79c | 90.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Laurent Lokoli | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Laurent Lokoli | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Laurent Lokoli | 74c | 49.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 70c | 29.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Laurent Lokoli | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Laurent Lokoli | 73c | 25.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Laurent Lokoli | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…4630backed Laurent Lokoli | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.