Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61772496917219389418a92792aec783c62d2112d7b49ab3c5b5be70129db6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 408.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Over | 50c | 360.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 326.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 303.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 42c | 169$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 124.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 45c | 79.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 53c | 68.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 57.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…848ebacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…c725backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d2…8b96backed Over | 47c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…ed4cbacked Over | 47c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…156abacked Over | 47c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…d5e5backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c09…56b7backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.