Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0ec22b19a35742ed6d59847ae506836653827490f00c1783ea7e05fdc7acec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 2,126$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,968$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,246$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 1,088$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 47c | 843.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.49 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 61c | 387.61$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 271.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 52c | 268.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 268.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 61c | 129.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 61c | 124.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…62cebacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 66.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 28c | 62.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 69c | 52.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 41.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 37c | 37.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Over | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.