Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6328b5152d9ff8ccc5d515ed62123f56f9d1f5253fa4a84a15e47d690ce036c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Shanghai Haigang FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 780.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 33c | 680.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.29 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 664.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 70c | 492.9$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 55c | 392$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 47c | 192$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 66c | 175.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 167.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 147.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 138.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 66c | 135.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 128.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 41.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…c5edbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 39.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 37.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 34.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 31c | 34.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…bb4cbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 21.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 66c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…8c11backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.