Fifa International · resolved market
Will Guam win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617a9299deb070739d3ddd0a1ce95f200d2fd99b09dd62f7b0e75f6ac7bdfdba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 4c | 7,706$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,430$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,073$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 2c | 866.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 6c | 839.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 4c | 539.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 524$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 6c | 519.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 5c | 231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 191.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Guam win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Myanmar vs. Guam end in a draw?No won
- Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.