Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6196c7bef1e50fc098847996282fb0b7a51cd6e45be6b9422fa8727a1ad97255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meavedronof Meavedron, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked BRUTE | 17c | 8,533$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.59 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed BRUTE | 14c | 2,546$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.76 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed BRUTE | 18c | 2,230$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed BRUTE | 16c | 1,956$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BRUTE | 14c | 1,355$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked BRUTE | 13c | 1,174$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed BRUTE | 15c | 1,064$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BRUTE | 15c | 949$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked BRUTE | 15c | 803$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed BRUTE | 16c | 572.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed BRUTE | 16c | 544.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed BRUTE | 16c | 534.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BRUTE | 16c | 453.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed BRUTE | 17c | 445.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed BRUTE | 12c | 331.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed BRUTE | 15c | 283.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed BRUTE | 19c | 244.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked BRUTE | 15c | 224.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked BRUTE | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed BRUTE | 15c | 196.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed BRUTE | 9c | 183.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed BRUTE | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked BRUTE | 14c | 146.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Meavedron | 80c | 138.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed BRUTE | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed BRUTE | 14c | 109.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed BRUTE | 20c | 104.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked BRUTE | 15c | 102.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BRUTE | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BRUTE | 16c | 72.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed BRUTE | 19c | 63.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Meavedron | 76c | 32.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: MVE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)Meavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerMeavedron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.