Lol · resolved market
LoL: Estral Esports vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b3e2ddae24a925a341d79b657f47fce1dda75b88ef4800a9f6d67fff85e3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, Team Solid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Solid | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Solid | 11c | 1,010$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Team Solid | 13c | 767.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Team Solid | 3c | 666.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…507fbacked Team Solid | 13c | 410.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Team Solid | 14c | 276$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Team Solid | 8c | 265.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Solid | 10c | 183.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Solid | 11c | 177.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Solid | 10c | 162.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Solid | 13c | 147.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Team Solid | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.