Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Radford Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d7b6f7d791c964e87910319c66cd84c99c7a9f2b910bf767b83483ab25b441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radford Highlandersof USC Upstate Spartans, Radford Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Radford Highlanders | 74c | 2,773$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 26c | 2,222$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 27c | 1,681$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Radford Highlanders | 66c | 1,299$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Radford Highlanders | 73c | 731.9$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Radford Highlanders | 72c | 561.64$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 26c | 498.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Radford Highlanders | 70c | 314.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked USC Upstate Spartans | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed USC Upstate Spartans | 28c | 243.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Radford Highlanders | 70c | 218.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 29c | 199.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Radford Highlanders | 78c | 157.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed USC Upstate Spartans | 34c | 147.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Radford Highlanders | 68c | 129.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed USC Upstate Spartans | 34c | 104.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…11c6backed Radford Highlanders | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…ad16backed USC Upstate Spartans | 30c | 91.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Upstate Spartans | 30c | 83.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed USC Upstate Spartans | 30c | 83.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed USC Upstate Spartans | 30c | 80.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed USC Upstate Spartans | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed USC Upstate Spartans | 27c | 76.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Radford Highlanders | 68c | 71.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Radford Highlanders | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 34c | 59.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 19c | 51.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 28c | 47.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Radford Highlanders | 74c | 46.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Radford Highlanders | 76c | 43.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Radford Highlanders | 71c | 41.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 44c | 39.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 29c | 37.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Radford Highlanders | 71c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Radford Highlanders | 66c | 33.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Radford Highlanders | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.