South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x621fe691bcdff33d985563fc2ed2f26a96558518a4610587d238ddb7fcd45622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,875$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,875$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.89 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 2,855$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,292$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 1,901$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.08 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 52c | 1,848$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,526$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 1,296$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 1,054$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.74 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 898.48$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.06 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 45c | 600.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.88 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 48c | 521.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…1e9ebacked Yes | 46c | 467.87$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 28c | 457.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 447.38$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 70c | 423.51$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 48c | 311.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Yes | 47c | 248.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 37c | 217.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 47c | 211.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 199.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 183.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 176.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 36c | 174.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 154.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 71c | 114.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 36c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 23c | 95.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 29c | 80.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked No | 51c | 76.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes | 50c | 70.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 69.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 69c | 53.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed No | 71c | 49.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 54c | 41.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 33c | 38.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 32c | 37.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 32.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…9491backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a58…daa6backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 56c | 28.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 26.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 77c | 24.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 23.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…7ef3backed No | 54c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 67c | 18.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.