South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc22d3014987fe65c182c9dca23a213f5c8a09064423ca7d1f1a54c27a6e7e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 5,437$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,436$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 703.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 451$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 36c | 419.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 64c | 277.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…0c9ebacked Yes | 27c | 227.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 76c | 202$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 6c | 189.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 163.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 62c | 162.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 27c | 158.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 96.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…9994backed No | 68c | 34.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 79c | 22.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked No | 76c | 21.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed No | 70c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.