Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6223b7a80dd12012e07d23d031c4d6b967418fbf0c07a766dceb7b2a79db0a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 48c | 2,070$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.15 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 1,399$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.71 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Butler Bulldogs | 51c | 882$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 493.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 392.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 284.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 268.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 171$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 113.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 62.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 55.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…bc57backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Butler Bulldogs | 42c | 39.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 38.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 32.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 31.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler BulldogsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-3.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-4.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.