Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf815378da16a96871318a85fa9dde62f021be777ea50d6ede035eb5f5c376d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 30,474$14,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,466.69 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 12,902$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.98 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 8,027$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.07 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 5,314$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.92 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,301$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 1,057$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.01 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,035$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.39 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 640$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 379$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 52c | 172.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 166.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 97.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 52c | 58.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 49c | 43.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 53c | 35.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Under | 51c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 139.5this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler BulldogsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-3.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-4.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.