Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ddb3af2ffc90d0fff8f5c0e4bafce4e546d96df2c01da488eda7bfcd4f779c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 2,267$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.87 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 958.18$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 903.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 39c | 741.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 631.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 395.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Seton Hall Pirates | 61c | 382.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seton Hall Pirates | 77c | 369.37$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 362.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 39c | 318.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 292.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 285.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 209.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 189.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs | 41c | 160.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butler Bulldogs | 41c | 124.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 37c | 95.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 81.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 50.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Seton Hall Pirates | 59c | 35.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 64c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Seton Hall Pirates | 63c | 17.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler BulldogsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-3.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-4.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.