Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62381c5c08c4b187d0464eef376bfc34f7356255bee21755aad92aab677c05b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Paper Rex | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 1,113$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.95 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 998.98$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.85 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Paper Rex | 41c | 539.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.73 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Paper Rex | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 395.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Leviatán Esports | 60c | 389$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 379.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.52 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked Paper Rex | 40c | 378$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Leviatán Esports | 64c | 316.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Paper Rex | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Paper Rex | 40c | 247.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Paper Rex | 36c | 195.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…d305backed Paper Rex | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Paper Rex | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Paper Rex | 41c | 146.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 116.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Paper Rex | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Paper Rex | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Paper Rex | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Leviatán Esports | 64c | 47.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Paper Rex | 72c | 30.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 26.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Paper Rex | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.