Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Dartmouth Big Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6257b59d7b5f7ee88ccd431319884165ac86d60e018bc21719343c0621c4171b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harvard Crimsonof Harvard Crimson, Dartmouth Big Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Harvard Crimson | 53c | 13,637$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.51 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 7,896$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Harvard Crimson | 52c | 4,822$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.98 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 12c | 3,638$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 3,402$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 3,153$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.78 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 501.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 409$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 402.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 391$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Harvard Crimson | 53c | 372$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 370.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 331$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green | 37c | 226.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 28c | 171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 157.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Dartmouth Big Green | 35c | 144.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Dartmouth Big Green | 20c | 94.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 32c | 75.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Harvard Crimson | 73c | 73.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 71.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Harvard Crimson | 79c | 55.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Harvard Crimson | 62c | 51.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Harvard Crimson | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Harvard Crimson | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.