NBA · resolved market
NBA: LA Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks 2024-05-01
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62705d197b8cee54bc364d74492c876cfb8800b61f0ffc5c0a911af9c9a8e8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mavericks | 59c | 7,519$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.87 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Clippers | 41c | 6,389$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.57 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Mavericks | 60c | 1,672$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 41c | 1,022$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 43c | 820$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Clippers | 41c | 475$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Clippers | 41c | 456.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Clippers | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Mavericks | 58c | 125$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Clippers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NBA: LA Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks 2024-05-01this page
- NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2024-05-01Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.