Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Winthrop University (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63231dc94eada464915f6e03c9ea566e5524cb5d717114a3dd9b7ff9529b6af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 3,107$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.59 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Winthrop University | 34c | 1,808$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 799.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Winthrop University | 33c | 740.03$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 629.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 619$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…445dbacked Winthrop University | 35c | 608$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Winthrop University | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Winthrop University | 33c | 379.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 366.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Winthrop University | 36c | 278.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 261.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Winthrop University | 36c | 210.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Winthrop University | 35c | 179.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 178.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 169.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Winthrop University | 31c | 128$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Winthrop University | 33c | 120.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Winthrop University | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 95.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Winthrop University | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Winthrop University | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Winthrop University | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Winthrop University | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Winthrop University | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…6555backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 36.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…7ac6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 28.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 26.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Winthrop University | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Winthrop University (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Winthrop University - Map 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.