South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6354a8cd455e63baef1ca51c426b8ed2c126e90cc093cfbc532097e9413fb5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,141 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 3,121$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 2,673$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,199$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.67 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 58c | 1,736$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,519$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.58 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 865.05$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 527$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 500$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 439.68$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 373.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 351$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 340.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 245.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 71c | 241$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 45c | 222.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 210.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Yes | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 71c | 198.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 29c | 188.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 55c | 181.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 73c | 180.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Yes | 71c | 156.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 75c | 137.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 118.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Yes | 46c | 99.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 37c | 97.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 29c | 87.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 55c | 84.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 82.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 65.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 63.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 62.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 73c | 43.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 76c | 37.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed No | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 28.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 27.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…06c6backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 75c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.