CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f286096d968bb6dc84574b11d006aa84e3f022f85fe3514c942080ac935cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof Keyd, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,188 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 44c | 2,335$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed UNO MILLE | 33c | 2,137$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.19 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 48c | 1,533$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 70c | 1,227$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 69c | 1,143$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 986.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.54 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed UNO MILLE | 31c | 900$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UNO MILLE | 42c | 606.57$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 34c | 524.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked UNO MILLE | 37c | 483.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 10c | 463.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Keyd | 6c | 374.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Keyd | 40c | 369.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked UNO MILLE | 36c | 332.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 31c | 321.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed UNO MILLE | 60c | 292.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Keyd | 38c | 280.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Keyd | 57c | 175.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd | 70c | 173.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…d9b7backed Keyd | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Keyd | 64c | 156.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed UNO MILLE | 33c | 155.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keyd | 68c | 139$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Keyd | 70c | 135.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed UNO MILLE | 37c | 124.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…18e3backed Keyd | 40c | 116.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Keyd | 64c | 116$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Keyd | 61c | 112.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Keyd | 70c | 112.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…4f1dbacked UNO MILLE | 60c | 108.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Keyd | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…9684backed Keyd | 12c | 91.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE | 37c | 83.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Keyd | 63c | 82.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 38c | 79.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked UNO MILLE | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…d88ebacked Keyd | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked UNO MILLE | 36c | 58.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Keyd | 52c | 55.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Keyd | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Keyd | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Keyd | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Keyd | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Keyd | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Keyd | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Keyd | 69c | 28.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNO MILLE | 78c | 27.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Keyd | 64c | 27.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Keyd | 65c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Keyd | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…9436backed Keyd | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…9093backed Keyd | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Keyd | 55c | 18.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.