CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac48e32eac0f4dae3297301d3ca742ae4e20694c1d6486190d1e0c6a5469c266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof Keyd, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 61c | 2,883$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Keyd | 49c | 2,071$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.09 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Keyd | 47c | 880.17$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 42c | 536.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNO MILLE | 55c | 518.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked UNO MILLE | 43c | 488.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 53c | 429.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 37c | 314$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Keyd | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 16c | 233.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed UNO MILLE | 58c | 215.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 58c | 211.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 54c | 205.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 33c | 159.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Keyd | 22c | 147.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 32c | 133.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Keyd | 59c | 98.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 93.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Keyd | 26c | 80.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed UNO MILLE | 46c | 68.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…9a4abacked Keyd | 29c | 66.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Keyd | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…e668backed Keyd | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…449cbacked Keyd | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Keyd | 36c | 52.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 42c | 50.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Keyd | 60c | 49.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked UNO MILLE | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Keyd | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keyd | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UNO MILLE | 72c | 43.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed UNO MILLE | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed UNO MILLE | 59c | 26.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed UNO MILLE | 79c | 17.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.