NFL · resolved market
Will Rams vs. Lions be the highest scoring game of Week 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6403d72d2c306011474959ee493bae11e52da147d9136c5adbf668dadaf1ed08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 12c | 970.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 22c | 931.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 383.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 14c | 309.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…1fb6backed No | 75c | 281.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 14c | 271$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…e69cbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams vs. Lions be the highest scoring game of Week 1?this page
- Will Broncos vs. Seahawks be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Cardinals vs. Bills be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Chiefs vs. Ravens be highest scoring game Week 1?No won
- Will Commanders vs. Buccaneers be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Cowboys vs. Browns be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Jaguars vs. Dolphins be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Jets vs. 49ers be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Packers vs. Eagles be the highest scoring game of Week 1?Yes won
- Will Panthers vs. Saints be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Steelers vs. Falcons be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Texans vs. Colts be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Titans vs. Bears be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
- Will Vikings vs. Giants be the highest scoring game of Week 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.